With the demolition of Soundstages 22-25, it's time to expand on how this affects Nintendo Land. (This is going to be long. Forgive me!)
We all know the first Nintendo Land will be going into Universal Studios Japan in 2020, so that's the best place for reference. The rumored area can be seen in maps posted previously in this forum (by Chris and Zero56 on page 6), but I'm not sure they're entirely correct. I saw a map on a Japanese site that doesn't include the big building in the lower left corner of their maps, which currently houses a 4D theater. Normally, I'd say whatever to that, but it's one of the venues of the Universal Cool event and they're already losing one venue which houses two different attractions. This is a huge event that lasts six months - and it has A LOT of sponsorship - so I'm not completely onboard with it losing 80% of its offerings. Without that building, this kinda-heart-shaped area is about 210,000 square feet (I don't do acreage because the numbers are too small). So this is a pretty good indication of how big the basic site will be since we know how much Universal likes plopping down exact clones.
We also know the final Nintendo Land will be going into Universal Studios Florida. Presumably so they can figure out what's working, what's not, and then plus it up so it's the BEST Nintendo Land of the three. The original rumor was the KidZone area, which is weirdly similar in shape to the heart-shaped Japan plot. There's extra land at the top of the "heart" here, making this area about 275,000sf. This includes a lot of backstage stuff, including what I think is a parade float building. Removing that and the area is still 220,000sf, which is still bigger than USJ's site. This, of course, doesn't include the rumor of a possible extension into the land between The Simpsons and MIB, but USH most likely wouldn't get any extra stuff, so we'll ignore that.
Of course, Universal hasn't committed to anything yet in Orlando. The Land could still go into the rumored Toon Lagoon area - taking over the theater and that land's main boulevard, which is oddly also about 220,000sf. I heard scuttlebutt for a bit that it was DEFINITELY going into Toon Lagoon since the Kong ride didn't elevate Islands of Adventure like they had hoped it would. But now the rumor is that IOA is getting a new Harry Potter Dragon Challenge replacement, so it obviously depends on if that gets greenlit. With Dreamworks now ready to be put somewhere, they now have a lot more options for a Toon Lagoon replacement, so I think Nintendo is finally off the drawing board here. But there's still the third park, which doesn't help us since it could be any size.
So back to USH: There has been all kind of mapping of the area where Soundstages 33-37, 41-44 and the rehearsal hall sit. That area alone - without any Mummy land - is about 200,000sf, making it the same size as the USJ plot without the 4D theater. Still ignoring Mummy, you can add in Soundstages 29 and 31 and the total is up to about 250,000sf, putting it right in the ballpark of USF's KidZone area, and it's similar to the USJ plot if the 4D theater is included. Building it out this way, the entrance to the land wouldn't be between The Mummy and Transformers but on the opposite side of Transformers, and the former Soundstage 28 land could be the Lower Lot's much-needed plaza. (The destruction of Soundstages 22-25 adds some wrinkles, which I'm posting in the Stage 28 thread.)
Yes, Nintendo Land very well could take over The Mummy, but I'm not sold. Yet. One important fact is USH's still-too-short attraction roster. I just can't see them reducing that count by a ride for two years. Furthermore, rumor has it USF is waiting for the upcoming movie reboot to make some decisions. If it's a hit, they plan to add bits from the new movie ASAP. I can't see them doing that in Florida at the same time they're tearing it down in California. Many people are ignoring one important fact about the Mummy coaster: It's based on a Universal property, which means they don't share the merchandise profit WITH ANYBODY. That, my friends, is more important that how good the ride actually is. They will be making a bunch of new Mummy merch and if it sells well, they will NOT be tearing down a merchandise-machine, which also happens to be the only non-kiddie coaster in the park. So the future of the ride has way more to do with the film than it does with Nintendo.
Will the film do well? The darker tone is what's selling now, but it's still a Tom Cruise movie, and lately he's been box office kryptonite unless his face is plastered with the words "Mission" and "Impossible". Personally, I think it's going to be a hit. I haaaaaate Tom Cruise - and I'm not a fan of Russell Crowe - but I just saw the trailer and it was pretty amazing. (IMO, I think trailers that focus on one scene rather than the ones that show a bunch of random action shots give the audience more information on it's perceived goodness. On top of that, hearing Tom Cruise scream for a minute instead of beating on people twice as big as him can't help but make you hate him a little less.) It's opening two weeks after "Pirates of the Caribbean: Yes, More of This Crap", which won't last more than two weeks. (The previous Pirates movie earned 72% of its total take before heading into its third weekend, and people were already growing tired of the series.) "Wonder Woman" opens the week after, but I don't think it's going to be that massive. First, it's a "woman" so a lot of superhero fanboys will stay away. Plus, it's DC and all the DC fanboys show up early. ("Superman v Batman" got nearly 65% of its total take in its FIRST weekend.) AND, the DC movies have all been pretty awful lately. The big movie the following weekend is "Cars 3" which is a completely different audience. The following week it'll be "Transformers: Seriously?" and Michael Bay has his own sad fanboy base so those denizens of questionable taste will show up in droves. Lucky for "Mummy" these should be the only two movies fighting in the so-called "adult" category for awhile. Then it's "Despicable Me 3" with "Spider-Man: Hopefully This Won't Be the Fourth Bad Spider-Man Movie in a Row" following that. So unless "The Mummy" gets horrible reviews - or even mediocre reviews as it doesn't take much to keep people from a Tom Cruise movie - I think it'll perform well since it seems to be set, scheduling-wise. And it'll be huge overseas - as all Tom Cruise movies still are - and foreigners are the MOST important segment of the theme park tourist market. Foreign tourists spend money like crazy people, and if they spend enough in The Mummy giftshop, that thing will outlive Transformers! (Side note: Look at the theme parks each big movie represents in this timeframe: Disney, Six Flags, Universal, Disney, Universal, Universal, Universal.)
Considering Nintendo Land isn't rumored until 2021, we still have at least a year before we'll see any real movement, which gives Universal plenty of time to figure out the future of The Mummy.