Feige has a very large amount of influence for sure. Feige and D'Esposito basically created the MCU from nothing but the comics that were there for them, but even then, they had to make good films. Disney knows they can't lose him, but if they can make MORE money with PA than they otherwise would have during this time, then that's my only point.The formula seems to be kind of all over, as Shang-Chi will not be on Premier Access and is sticking to a 45 day theatrical run. Jungle Cruise will probably be the film that determines how they treat the Premier Access system moving forward. If it does well, I don't see why they shouldn't offer it as an option for bigger movies.
That being said, I do think Feige has a little more influence within the company than people give him credit for.
Had that $60M gone to theaters instead of Disney+, Disney only keeps about half of it since it's split between domestic and international. Domestically they have a stranglehold on the theaters, but internationally they don't get the same high cut. So if they are all of a sudden turning $30M into $60M or in the case of bigger movies (lets say they do PA for Strange 2). Let's pretend the movie makes close to $150M opening weekend at the box office and they pull close to $100M globally from PA. The PA number is a 100% net of that money instead of splitting it at a 50% cut and theatrical is still strong. And let's also not underestimate what this does to not only keep people subscribed to Disney+, but i'd love to see the numbers on people who both paid a subscription fee AND the $30 was like.
I don't think any major decisions about PA will solely be made from Jungle Cruise, but more from Black Widow since it's an MCU film. However, if Jungle Cruise does do exceedingly well on PA (which I think is a long shot), I think there's no way they don't continue with PA model on all big blockbusters going forward.