- Jun 21, 2016
- 3,847
- 8,455
A “huge” wave may or may not happen. We’ll see. But increased cases has always been the expectation with the reopening.good news! apparently there is a drop in new cases across the us. bad news? with economies and businesses reopening, we’re probably gonna be hit with another huge wave.
Coronavirus Cases Slow in U.S., but the Big Picture Remains Tenuous
For the record- the New York Times tracker is awful. They have a per capita option but not a percentage of test option (shocker). So yes, the total number of cases is dropping, as they mentioned. But what they didn’t mention is the percentage of positive cases has absolutely plummeted, which the experts weren’t expecting. The enormous increase in testing should have shown more cases in an absolute number, but nationally even that’s less, as reported.
That, of course, doesn’t stop the media from reporting pockets, such as “Texas numbers spiking” while disregarding the massive increase in tests in Texas and overall percentage of positive cases actually being at an all time low. But even that isn’t a fair picture because early testing were only suspected cases; so its obvious those would represent a higher percentage. So we’re only just now getting a baseline over the last couple of weeks because we finally have an acceptable number of tests, so we don’t really have much to actually compare it to.
I still stand by hospitalization numbers being the best and most important of the metrics to track. The others ones are too manipulatable in either direction at least until the next couple of weeks when we’ll have a lengthier track record with adequate testing.
Sorry for the tirade, I just hate the manipulation of numbers or the lack of painting a full picture (not you, but the NYT article).
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