I was in the park when the gates opened at 9am. Got down to Nintendo by 910am. This was the waittime:
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90min at park open! Thankfully this ride has single rider because you couldn't pay me enough to be stuck in that upper level outdoor switchback queue in the blazing hot sun (even if it represents the game. All it's missing is fireballs).
Single rider was completely empty. So I was able to walk right on. I was tempted to go for a 2nd time, but, unpopular opinion, I'm just not a fan of this ride at all. It has great set details that get lost within the annoying AR glasses. It's not a ride I "must do" every visit.
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I really dislike the cramped setup of the land because it's so difficult to get great shots of Bowser's Castle. Maybe it'd be better when it's less busy