Ultimately, the problem with the discussion is your, to be frank, stubbornness - which is why I kept advising to drop it.
You've only known an event with 10 houses. The people who've been trying to help you understand have known an event with 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and now 10 houses. We've known an event when FFP only offered 13 nights, or a time when Rush of Fear never existed. A time when we were lucky when 1 house had an awesome facade. The point is there has been precedent. This isn't the first time someone has suggested adding capacity will help crowds.
I've been attending the event every year since 23, and following it for a few years prior to that. I've personally seen the event grow from 8 to 10 houses as a result of increased crowds due to the popularity of the Walking Dead, and the domino effect its caused of getting very popular IPs into the event. I used HHN 28 as a reference point to compare it to the most recent HHN as it is the most comparable with the number/quality of offerings.
Yes capacity isn't the sole issue to alleviate crowds, there are lots of pieces Universal still needs to address (like F&B ops). I'm not expecting crowds to vanish, but Universal isn't doing much to alleviate congestion by putting a food booth in the middle of an already crowded walkway (e.g. Chucky across F&F last year).
Stubborn? Nope. Cynic, sure. I don't think I've been stubborn when someone brings up information/insider operational knowledge. I've never purposely ignored any information provided by insiders that challenge my comments. (When Legacy mentioned how the lack of restroom capacity limits capacity at HHN, I simply provided the solution to open up the bathrooms at SS33 & BMG to accommodate increased demand. When he mentioned how we couldn't use the Hollywood area for a queue/house entrance, I provided a realistic solution with measurements.)
In the past, when there were only 9 houses, people believed that adding a 10th would solve many of the issues. Now, after 5 more events, we're discussing adding an 11th, maybe 12th? We've seen events where they add a show, a house, and increase prices and offerings - and the issue is always the same with crowds. This is the first time that UO has not only made efforts to charge the premium offerings a premium price but has put a cap on tickets.
We're not opposed to adding more experiences like shows, houses, or zones, but it's not a simple fix as
@Legacy has tried to explain.
Like I've mentioned for the past 1-2 years now, yes it's not just as simple as adding an additional house (I've mentioned in the past how original houses tend to be walk-ons for a good chunk of the event's operating hours, so I've avoided that discussion entirely, hence my emphasis on additional entertainment) and have provided realistic solutions in the past (like festival centers w/ additional restroom capacity). I'm happy Universal has actually artificially capped express, it was much needed, but there are other issues to address.
HNF at 30 was quite easy to watch, at 31 you had to show up a few minutes before, at 32 they had to setup a proper queue and arrive half an hour early. When you are starting to setup a proper queue in order to even get into a massive theater with 1.5-1.6K in capacity, demand has surpassed supply. Yes, it's not as easy as saying "let's do xyz here", but there are solutions that are more than plausible.
Now in regards to your graph - it only shows a rising price, but the issue is more complex. Yes, the data is simplified per your admission, but the solution isn't simple either. It requires a detailed, nuanced analysis. Simply put, there isn't enough information available to us. How many attendees are for one night vs. frequent fear passes? Which FFP tier has the most visitors? Do people buy express passes in the park or beforehand? These are all factors that can contribute to an accurate assessment.
You are clearly intelligent, so I don't want you to feel like this is all about a "dumb kid who doesn't know what he's talking about."; but when a group of experienced veterans is attempting to explain the realities of the situation to you, it's best to be more receptive instead of sticking to your position and becoming more entrenched.
Like I mentioned earlier, I avoided complicating the graph, and I agree that it requires far more detail. I tried to generalize/simplify the best way I could to keep discussion at a high level versus getting into the minute details that tend to turn off people from the discussion.
I appreciate what you and Legacy provide to this forum, and you have far more years of HHN experience than me, but I think 10 years of my own experience is a decent amount to understand HHN and crowd dynamics. I was there when you could easily do all houses (w/ repeats), Bill & Ted, and rides each night on Fridays/Saturdays... a task that has become very difficult to do today.