They won't drop Mulan on VOD, the only way that it makes any money back is with the Chinese audience,
especially with all of the xenophobia and racism due to the coronavirus which will limit Western sales.
My bets on first to crack are New Mutants and Bill and Ted, personally.
Now this depends on things getting more under control by the EOY, but take a look at
this list; anything Paramount or Lionsgate has a pretty solid shot at getting VOD just due to financials. Universal's got a 50-50 shot if they feel like it's worth it to drop. Warner Brothers is the only studio that I don't see dropping anything. They MIGHT release the new Conjuring, but most of their other movies are being billed as prestige CINEMA movies and I don't see them being premiered on VOD.