2019 Hurricane Thread

[NJBrandon]

I think MCO prematurely announced their closure.

 

[Teebin]

Weather patterns keep on changing... that is the reason that the path is changing... They are saying that a high that was previously keeping it south and directly into Florida has weakened allowing it to drift north instead.

Keep your fingers crossed that the high doesn’t strengthen once again!

 

[NJBrandon]

Good job by Disney, Universal, etc. for not announcing any closures.

 

[Tbad556]

Definitely stay alert just to be safe. A lot can change in four days. It's still a little premature to be celebrating. Don't forget that this was Irma's models 4 days out vs. the actual path it took:

 

[Mad Dog]

I recall that Fall tropical storm that sat spinning right on the coast of South Carolina for a week or so, a couple of years ago, and did more damage with the huge repeat rainfalls then it would have done as a hurricane hitting for a day and moving on. That state was in a shambles for weeks with impassable interstate roads & bridges all washed out.

 

[Nick]

Good job by Disney, Universal, etc. for not announcing any closures.

You say this as if the storm has passed. It can easily make an unexpected turn back in.

As Brian said earlier, Irma wasn’t supposed to take the track it did, but we know how that went.

 

[frank_1991_]

I can tell you that everyone in south Florida right now Is laughing this off. We are still 2 days out from the turn and that will determine where this storm will end up. Let’s remember that the forecast had this making landfall today and it got that wrong.

 

[shiekra38]

Definitely stay alert just to be safe. A lot can change in four days. It's still a little premature to be celebrating. Don't forget that this was Irma's models 4 days out vs. the actual path it took:

This is quite true...Charlie is another example of a storm that surprised everyone....However, I think the scenario is quite different in this case, although the East Coast should still stay alert

 

[Brian G.]

I can tell you that everyone in south Florida right now Is laughing this off. We are still 2 days out from the turn and that will determine where this storm will end up. Let’s remember that the forecast had this making landfall today and it got that wrong.

If anyone is laughing, it’s from those who didn’t survive Andrew. I’d say sigh of relief is the appropriate term.

 

[Scott W.]

You say this as if the storm has passed. It can easily make an unexpected turn back in.

As Brian said earlier, Irma wasn’t supposed to take the track it did, but we know how that went.

That's the scary thing about hurricanes. With all the modern technology we have and all the prediction models, they're still wildly unpredictable. Then that's the even scarier thing, in this day and age, people assume that the predictions are always going to be accurate and think they're safe and on the same side of the coin, the same people will be pissed if they're given a warning and it doesn't hit.

 

[Tbad556]

So far, the most recent GFS, Euro, and HWRF models have all started pushing the storm back west closer to the state. It's definitely not over for us yet.

12z GFS Model:

18z GFS Model:

 

[Teebin]

Watch it shoot right up the coast and clobber Bar Harbor, Maine.

 

[Bobharlem]

This is a very good video describing what's going on, it shows a model from tonight that shows landfall in Cape Canaveral, highlighting a potential trend back west.

 

[Parkscope Joe]

 

[TheGentTrent]

With the latest advisory a bit of a shift west, I suspect MCO is about to eat crow again very shortly.

 

[wizwit]

Looks like The Bahamas (Castaway Key and Lighthouse Point included) are going to take a real pounding over the next few days. Potentially devastating.

 

[P@n!K_Sw1tC#]

Wont be any worse than your typical afternoon Florida thunderstorm at this point, but the bread and bottled water companies sure are happy

 

[Lucky Planet]

Wont be any worse than your typical afternoon Florida thunderstorm at this point, but the bread and bottled water companies sure are happy

Better to prepare and not need it
Than need it and not have it

 

[P@n!K_Sw1tC#]

Ironic part is that bread is like the most perishable item you could buy, especially in a humid, no-power, Florida lol.

 

[Teebin]

It is still that high pressure system that is causing concern... they just cannot tell how strong it will stay. It is all very fascinating.